Open research / proprietary strategy

Polymarket BTC
5m Bot

An automated trading system for Polymarket BTC 5-minute Up / Down markets. Once configured, the system can continuously handle market discovery, signals, state, risk, sizing and order lifecycle.

PUBLIC SNAPSHOT18,633historical signals
63.75%executed historical win rate*
348STOP
8longest losing streak

* Standardized historical replay, not a return promise.

System

From candidate signal to real order

Automation is not “signal means order.” It is a chain of decisions that can reject each other.

01Market

Discover the active BTC 5m window, tokens and market state.

02Data

Validate freshness, continuity and state readiness.

03Signal

Multiple information families form a candidate rather than a direct order.

04Context

Market state and post-signal logic can keep, adjust or STOP the candidate.

05Risk

Dynamic sizing plus account, balance, allowance and duplicate-trade checks.

06Execution

Place, track, confirm, record and persist before moving to the next market.

Disclosure boundary

Publish the process,
not the recipe.

PUBLIC

Research questions, aggregate backtests, validation logic, risk philosophy, rejected hypotheses and public system architecture.

ABSTRACT

Feature families, internal state, parameter robustness and post-signal filters are discussed only at a high level.

PRIVATE

Exact formulas, thresholds, windows, direction mappings, branch priority and sensitive event-level features remain private.

Runtime

Designed for unattended operation

Windows

Local desktop operation for users who prefer to manage the bot from a personal computer.

Linux / VPS

Suitable for persistent server operation with supervisor/watchdog-style protection.

Paper / Live

Research and real-money execution are distinct modes; automation never guarantees profit.

Local credentials

Signing and sensitive credentials stay in the local/self-hosted environment; the software does not custody funds.