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Naka Research documents independent work around Polymarket, prediction markets, BTC five-minute automation, backtesting and production execution.

Why publish the work

Publishing the process forces assumptions, data definitions, backtest limitations and failure conditions to become explicit. A win-rate number is less interesting than why a result deserves trust—and what evidence would change our mind.

Why the complete strategy is not public

The core strategy remains proprietary research. This site does not publish exact formulas, thresholds, windows, mappings or internal priorities that would make the directional logic directly reconstructable. We do publish validation methods, aggregate results, rejected ideas and engineering problems.

Publish the research process, not the strategy recipe.

Project

Current public project: github.com/naka2027/polymarket-bot ↗

Disclaimer

This site is for technical research, education and information only. Nothing here constitutes financial, trading or investment advice. Prediction markets and automation can cause real financial loss. Historical, backtested and simulated results do not guarantee future performance.